UEFA Europa League

Celtic vs Ferencvarosi: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

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Celticvs

Ferencvarosi

Our predictionCeltic to win

Model score: High · 73/100

Score hint: 1-0

The model puts Celtic at 57%. The model leans toward Celtic. Confidence: high.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

+Recent form favours Celtic.
−The head-to-head record favours Ferencvarosi (1-0-2).

Win probabilities

1 · Celtic57%

Draw22%

2 · Ferencvarosi21%

1 · CelticDraw2 · Ferencvarosi

Full team comparison →

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo2.37+14.8%

1X2Celtic1.70+1.2%

1X2Ferencvarosi4.56+0.0%

1X2Draw4.08-1.2%

BTTSYes1.53-14.8%

Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Team strength rating

Celtic

Ferencvarosi

Recent form

CelticDWWLW

FerencvarosiWLLLL

Most likely scorelines

1-013.2%

2-012.3%

1-110.4%

2-19.6%

3-07.6%

0-07.1%

Expected goals

1.86Celtic

0.79Ferencvarosi

Over 2.5 goals49%

Both teams to score46%

Match DNA

Celtic Ferencvarosi

Key points

Celtic have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
Ferencvarosi have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
Celtic have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Celtic is priced at 1.696.

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment

1X2Celtic win1.70Fair (+1.2%)

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A	0	1	2	3
0	7	6	2
1	13	10	4	1
2	12	10	4
3	8	6	2
4	4	3	1
5	1	1

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Celtic at 57%. The model puts the draw at 22%. The model puts Ferencvarosi at 21%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.

The market leans toward Celtic. Celtic is priced at 1.696. The draw is priced at 4.08. Ferencvarosi is priced at 4.56.

Celtic have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. Ferencvarosi have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.

Celtic have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Ferencvarosi have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 46% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track Record →Methodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Celtic or Ferencvarosi?

Our model rates Celtic as the most likely outcome at 57% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Celtic vs Ferencvarosi?

A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 3 meetings: 1 Celtic wins, 0 draws, 2 Ferencvarosi wins.

See odds at bookmakers

League table

UEFA Europa League - League stage

#	Team	G
1	Sunderland	0:0
2	Crystal Palace	0:0
3	Bournemouth	0:0
4	Real Sociedad	0:0
5	Celta	0:0
6	FC Salzburg	0:0
7	Sturm Graz	0:0
8	Viktoria Plzen	0:0
9	AC Sparta Prague	0:0
10	Anderlecht	0:0
11	Royale Union Saint-Gilloise	0:0
12	Olympique de Marseille	0:0
13	Stade Rennais	0:0
14	Lyon	0:0
15	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	0:0
16	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	0:0
17	Juventus	0:0
18	Milan	0:0
19	N.E.C.	0:0
20	AZ Alkmaar	0:0
21	S.C.U. Torreense	0:0
22	Levski Sofia	0:0
23	Dinamo Zagreb	0:0
24	AC Omonia	0:0
25	OFI Crete	0:0
26	Olympiacos Piraeus	0:0
27	Hapoel Be'er Sheva	0:0
28	Lillestrom	0:0
29	Jagiellonia Bialystok	0:0
30	Lech Poznan	0:0
31	Benfica	0:0
32	Celtic	0:0
33	Celje	0:0
34	Besiktas	0:0
35	Ferencvarosi	0:0
36	Ararat - Armenia	0:0