UEFA Europa League

Real Sociedad vs Bournemouth: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

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Real Sociedadvs

Bournemouth

Our predictionBournemouth to win

Model score: Low · 34/100

Score hint: 0-1

The model puts Bournemouth at 40%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

+Recent form favours Bournemouth.

Win probabilities

1 · Real Sociedad33%

Draw26%

2 · Bournemouth40%

1 · Real SociedadDraw2 · Bournemouth

Full team comparison →

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo2.20+5.0%

1X2Bournemouth2.49+1.9%

1X2Real Sociedad2.78-0.7%

1X2Draw3.42-1.2%

BTTSYes1.61-5.0%

Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Team strength rating

Real Sociedad

Bournemouth

Most likely scorelines

1-112.6%

0-19.9%

1-09.6%

1-28.3%

2-18.0%

0-07.5%

Recent form

Real SociedadLDDLL

BournemouthWDLLL

Expected goals

1.28Real Sociedad

1.32Bournemouth

Over 2.5 goals48%

Both teams to score53%

Match DNA

Real Sociedad Bournemouth

Key points

Real Sociedad have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
Bournemouth have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
Bournemouth is priced at 2.488.

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment

1X2Bournemouth win2.49Fair (+1.9%)

Double chanceBournemouth or draw—Info

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7	10	6	3
1	10	13	8	4	1
2	6	8	5	2
3	3	3	2
4		1
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Real Sociedad at 33%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts Bournemouth at 40%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.

The market frames this as a close contest. Real Sociedad is priced at 2.78. The draw is priced at 3.42. Bournemouth is priced at 2.488.

Bournemouth have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.

Real Sociedad have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Bournemouth have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track Record →Methodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Real Sociedad or Bournemouth?

Our model rates Bournemouth as the most likely outcome at 40% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Real Sociedad vs Bournemouth?

A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 2 meetings: 0 Real Sociedad wins, 1 draws, 1 Bournemouth wins.

See odds at bookmakers

League table

UEFA Europa League - League stage

#	Team	G
1	Sunderland	0:0
2	Crystal Palace	0:0
3	Bournemouth	0:0
4	Real Sociedad	0:0
5	Celta	0:0
6	FC Salzburg	0:0
7	Sturm Graz	0:0
8	Viktoria Plzen	0:0
9	AC Sparta Prague	0:0
10	Anderlecht	0:0
11	Royale Union Saint-Gilloise	0:0
12	Olympique de Marseille	0:0
13	Stade Rennais	0:0
14	Lyon	0:0
15	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	0:0
16	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	0:0
17	Juventus	0:0
18	Milan	0:0
19	N.E.C.	0:0
20	AZ Alkmaar	0:0
21	S.C.U. Torreense	0:0
22	Levski Sofia	0:0
23	Dinamo Zagreb	0:0
24	AC Omonia	0:0
25	OFI Crete	0:0
26	Olympiacos Piraeus	0:0
27	Hapoel Be'er Sheva	0:0
28	Lillestrom	0:0
29	Jagiellonia Bialystok	0:0
30	Lech Poznan	0:0
31	Benfica	0:0
32	Celtic	0:0
33	Celje	0:0
34	Besiktas	0:0
35	Ferencvarosi	0:0
36	Ararat - Armenia	0:0