Stade Brestois 29 vs Paris Saint-Germain: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Stade Brestois 29vs
Paris Saint-GermainThe model puts Paris Saint-Germain at 69%. The model leans toward Paris Saint-Germain. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head record favours Stade Brestois 29 (14-1-0).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Stade Brestois 29 have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Paris Saint-Germain have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Stade Brestois 29 have won 14 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Paris Saint-Germain is priced at 1.304.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 15 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 |
| 1 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | ||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Stade Brestois 29 at 15%. The model puts the draw at 16%. The model puts Paris Saint-Germain at 69%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Paris Saint-Germain. Stade Brestois 29 is priced at 8.8. The draw is priced at 5.75. Paris Saint-Germain is priced at 1.304.
Stade Brestois 29 have won 14 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Stade Brestois 29 have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Paris Saint-Germain have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 39% for both teams to score. The model gives 46% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Stade Brestois 29 or Paris Saint-Germain?
Our model rates Paris Saint-Germain as the most likely outcome at 69% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Stade Brestois 29 vs Paris Saint-Germain?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 14 Stade Brestois 29 wins, 1 draws, 0 Paris Saint-Germain wins.
League table
France. Ligue 1| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  AS Monaco | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 9 |
| 2 |  Paris | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | 7 |
| 3 |  Lyon | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | 7 |
| 4 |  Lille OSC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 7 |
| 5 |  Stade Rennais | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:5 | 7 |
| 6 |  Strasbourg | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:7 | 6 |
| 7 | Stade Brestois 29 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:5 | 5 |
| 8 |  Lorient | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 9 |  Troyes AC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:7 | 4 |
| 10 |  Olympique de Marseille | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:5 | 3 |
| 11 |  RC Lens | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:5 | 3 |
| 12 |  Angers SCO | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 13 |  Le Mans | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | 2 |
| 14 | Paris Saint-Germain | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | 2 |
| 15 |  Nice | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:4 | 2 |
| 16 |  Le Havre | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | 1 |
| 17 |  Toulouse | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:5 | 1 |
| 18 |  Auxerre | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4:11 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.