Strasbourg vs AS Monaco: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Strasbourgvs
AS MonacoThe model puts AS Monaco at 45%. The model leans toward AS Monaco. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours AS Monaco.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Strasbourg have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- AS Monaco have 5 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Strasbourg have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings.
- AS Monaco is priced at 2.155.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 1 | |
| 1 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 1 | |
| 2 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Strasbourg at 30%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts AS Monaco at 45%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward AS Monaco. Strasbourg is priced at 3.096. The draw is priced at 3.76. AS Monaco is priced at 2.155.
Strasbourg have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. AS Monaco have won 7 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings.
Strasbourg have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Strasbourg are on 2 wins in a row. AS Monaco have 5 wins in their last 5 matches. AS Monaco are on 5 wins in a row.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Strasbourg or AS Monaco?
Our model rates AS Monaco as the most likely outcome at 45% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Strasbourg vs AS Monaco?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 5 Strasbourg wins, 3 draws, 7 AS Monaco wins.
League table
France. Ligue 1| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Monaco | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 9 |
| 2 |  Paris | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | 7 |
| 3 |  Lyon | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | 7 |
| 4 |  Lille OSC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 7 |
| 5 |  Stade Rennais | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:5 | 7 |
| 6 | Strasbourg | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:7 | 6 |
| 7 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:5 | 5 |
| 8 |  Lorient | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 9 |  Troyes AC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:7 | 4 |
| 10 |  Olympique de Marseille | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:5 | 3 |
| 11 |  RC Lens | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:5 | 3 |
| 12 |  Angers SCO | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 13 |  Le Mans | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | 2 |
| 14 |  Paris Saint-Germain | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | 2 |
| 15 |  Nice | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:4 | 2 |
| 16 |  Le Havre | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | 1 |
| 17 |  Toulouse | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:5 | 1 |
| 18 |  Auxerre | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4:11 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.