1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
1. FSV Mainz 05vs
Eintracht FrankfurtThe model puts 1. FSV Mainz 05 at 50%. The model leans toward 1. FSV Mainz 05. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours 1. FSV Mainz 05.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Eintracht Frankfurt have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings.
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 is priced at 1.96.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 7 | 3 | |||
| 1 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 6 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts 1. FSV Mainz 05 at 50%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts Eintracht Frankfurt at 26%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward 1. FSV Mainz 05. 1. FSV Mainz 05 is priced at 1.96. The draw is priced at 3.9. Eintracht Frankfurt is priced at 3.48.
1. FSV Mainz 05 have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. Eintracht Frankfurt have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 5 of their head-to-head meetings.
1. FSV Mainz 05 have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Eintracht Frankfurt have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 50% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, 1. FSV Mainz 05 or Eintracht Frankfurt?
Our model rates 1. FSV Mainz 05 as the most likely outcome at 50% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 4 1. FSV Mainz 05 wins, 5 draws, 6 Eintracht Frankfurt wins.
League table
Germany. Bundesliga| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Augsburg | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 |
| 2 |  Freiburg | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 3 |  Borussia Dortmund | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 6 |
| 4 |  Elversberg | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:5 | 6 |
| 5 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:0 | 4 |
| 6 |  Bayern Munich | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:1 | 4 |
| 7 |  Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 |
| 8 |  RasenBallsport Leipzig | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 9 |  VfB Stuttgart | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 10 |  Werder Bremen | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 11 |  1. Koln | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 12 |  Paderborn 07 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:1 | 1 |
| 13 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4:7 | 1 |
| 14 |  Schalke 04 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:3 | 1 |
| 15 |  Union Berlin | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:7 | 1 |
| 16 |  TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4:6 | 0 |
| 17 |  Borussia Monchengladbach | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:7 | 0 |
| 18 |  Hamburger | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0:7 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.