Elversberg vs Bayern Munich: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Elversbergvs
Bayern MunichThe model puts Bayern Munich at 79%. Data on this fixture is limited, so the prediction carries extra uncertainty. Confidence: medium.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Bayern Munich is priced at 1.185.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 17 | 18 | 13 | 7 | 3 |
| 1 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Elversberg at 8%. The model puts the draw at 13%. The model puts Bayern Munich at 79%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-2.
The market leans toward Bayern Munich. Elversberg is priced at 13. The draw is priced at 7.3. Bayern Munich is priced at 1.185.
The model gives 29% for both teams to score. The model gives 46% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Elversberg or Bayern Munich?
Our model rates Bayern Munich as the most likely outcome at 79% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Elversberg vs Bayern Munich?
A scoreline around 0-2 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
League table
Germany. Bundesliga| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Augsburg | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 |
| 2 |  Freiburg | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 3 |  Borussia Dortmund | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 6 |
| 4 | Elversberg | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:5 | 6 |
| 5 |  1. FSV Mainz 05 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:0 | 4 |
| 6 | Bayern Munich | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:1 | 4 |
| 7 |  Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 |
| 8 |  RasenBallsport Leipzig | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 9 |  VfB Stuttgart | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 10 |  Werder Bremen | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 11 |  1. Koln | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 12 |  Paderborn 07 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:1 | 1 |
| 13 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4:7 | 1 |
| 14 |  Schalke 04 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:3 | 1 |
| 15 |  Union Berlin | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:7 | 1 |
| 16 |  TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4:6 | 0 |
| 17 |  Borussia Monchengladbach | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:7 | 0 |
| 18 |  Hamburger | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0:7 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.