Unione Venezia vs Fiorentina: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Unione Veneziavs
FiorentinaThe model puts Fiorentina at 40%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head record favours Unione Venezia (7-4-4).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Unione Venezia have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Fiorentina have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Unione Venezia have won 7 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Fiorentina is priced at 2.32.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 3 | ||
| 1 | 10 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | |
| 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 1 | |||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Unione Venezia at 34%. The model puts the draw at 27%. The model puts Fiorentina at 40%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market frames this as a close contest. Unione Venezia is priced at 3.04. The draw is priced at 3.4. Fiorentina is priced at 2.32.
Unione Venezia have won 7 of the head-to-head meetings. Fiorentina have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 4 of their head-to-head meetings.
Unione Venezia have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Fiorentina have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Unione Venezia or Fiorentina?
Our model rates Fiorentina as the most likely outcome at 40% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Unione Venezia vs Fiorentina?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 7 Unione Venezia wins, 4 draws, 4 Fiorentina wins.
League table
Italy. Serie A| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Roma | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:1 | 9 |
| 2 |  Internazionale Milano | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:3 | 9 |
| 3 |  Lazio | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 9 |
| 4 |  Como | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 5 |  Milan | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 7 |
| 6 |  Juventus | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:1 | 7 |
| 7 |  Frosinone Calcio | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 6 |
| 8 |  Atalanta | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 9 |  Cagliari Calcio | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 6 |
| 10 |  Udinese Calcio | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 4 |
| 11 |  Sassuolo Calcio | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 4 |
| 12 |  Napoli | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:5 | 3 |
| 13 |  Torino | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:5 | 3 |
| 15 |  Bologna 1909 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | 1 |
| 16 |  Parma | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:4 | 1 |
| 17 |  Monza 1912 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4:8 | 1 |
| 18 | Unione Venezia | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2:7 | 0 |
| 19 |  Genoa | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1:7 | 0 |
| 20 | Fiorentina | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1:9 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.