Internazionale Milano vs Udinese Calcio: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
The model puts Internazionale Milano at 74%. The model leans toward Internazionale Milano. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Internazionale Milano.
- −The head-to-head record favours Udinese Calcio (2-1-12).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Internazionale Milano have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Udinese Calcio have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Internazionale Milano have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Internazionale Milano is priced at 1.264.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 3 | ||||
| 1 | 15 | 7 | 2 | |||
| 2 | 17 | 8 | 2 | |||
| 3 | 12 | 6 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 7 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 3 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Internazionale Milano at 74%. The model puts the draw at 15%. The model puts Udinese Calcio at 11%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Internazionale Milano. Internazionale Milano is priced at 1.264. The draw is priced at 5.75. Udinese Calcio is priced at 11.
Internazionale Milano have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. Udinese Calcio have won 12 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Internazionale Milano have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Udinese Calcio have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 33% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Internazionale Milano or Udinese Calcio?
Our model rates Internazionale Milano as the most likely outcome at 74% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Internazionale Milano vs Udinese Calcio?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 2 Internazionale Milano wins, 1 draws, 12 Udinese Calcio wins.
League table
Italy. Serie A| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:1 | 9 | |
| 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:3 | 9 | |
| 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 9 | |
| 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 7 | |
| 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 7 | |
| 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:1 | 7 | |
| 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 6 | |
| 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:3 | 6 | |
| 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 6 | |
| 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 4 | |
| 11 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 4 | |
| 12 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:5 | 3 | |
| 13 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:5 | 3 | |
| 14 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:5 | 3 | |
| 15 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | 1 | |
| 16 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:4 | 1 | |
| 17 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4:8 | 1 | |
| 18 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2:7 | 0 | |
| 19 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1:7 | 0 | |
| 20 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1:9 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.