Sassuolo Calcio vs Juventus: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Sassuolo Calciovs
JuventusThe model puts Juventus at 54%. The model leans toward Juventus. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Sassuolo Calcio.
- −The head-to-head record favours Sassuolo Calcio (9-3-3).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Sassuolo Calcio have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Juventus have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Sassuolo Calcio have won 9 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Juventus is priced at 1.63.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 2 | |
| 1 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 2 | |
| 2 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Sassuolo Calcio at 23%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts Juventus at 54%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Juventus. Sassuolo Calcio is priced at 5.45. The draw is priced at 3.9. Juventus is priced at 1.63.
Sassuolo Calcio have won 9 of the head-to-head meetings. Juventus have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings.
Sassuolo Calcio have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Juventus have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 49% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Sassuolo Calcio or Juventus?
Our model rates Juventus as the most likely outcome at 54% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Sassuolo Calcio vs Juventus?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 9 Sassuolo Calcio wins, 3 draws, 3 Juventus wins.
League table
Italy. Serie A| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Roma | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:1 | 9 |
| 2 |  Internazionale Milano | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:3 | 9 |
| 3 |  Lazio | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 9 |
| 4 |  Como | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 5 |  Milan | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 7 |
| 6 | Juventus | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:1 | 7 |
| 7 |  Frosinone Calcio | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 6 |
| 8 |  Atalanta | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 9 |  Cagliari Calcio | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 6 |
| 10 |  Udinese Calcio | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 4 |
| 11 | Sassuolo Calcio | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 4 |
| 12 |  Napoli | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:5 | 3 |
| 13 |  Torino | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:5 | 3 |
| 15 |  Bologna 1909 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | 1 |
| 16 |  Parma | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:4 | 1 |
| 17 |  Monza 1912 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4:8 | 1 |
| 18 |  Unione Venezia | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2:7 | 0 |
| 19 |  Genoa | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1:7 | 0 |
| 20 |  Fiorentina | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1:9 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.