West Ham United vs Fulham: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
West Ham Unitedvs
FulhamThe model puts Fulham at 47%. The model leans toward Fulham. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The head-to-head record favours Fulham (3-3-9).
- +Recent form favours Fulham.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- West Ham United have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Fulham have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- West Ham United have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Fulham is priced at 2.144.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 2 | |
| 1 | 7 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 2 | |
| 2 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 1 | |
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts West Ham United at 28%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Fulham at 47%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Fulham. West Ham United is priced at 3.28. The draw is priced at 3.54. Fulham is priced at 2.144.
West Ham United have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. Fulham have won 9 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings.
West Ham United have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Fulham have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
West Ham United average 3 goals per game this season. West Ham United average 45% possession.
The model gives 55% for both teams to score. The model gives 52% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, West Ham United or Fulham?
Our model rates Fulham as the most likely outcome at 47% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for West Ham United vs Fulham?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 3 West Ham United wins, 3 draws, 9 Fulham wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.