Fleetwood Town vs Sheffield United: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Fleetwood Townvs
Sheffield UnitedThe model puts Sheffield United at 55%. The model leans toward Sheffield United. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Fleetwood Town.
- +The head-to-head record favours Sheffield United (1-3-3).
- +Fleetwood Town are dealing with notable absentees.
- −Sheffield United are dealing with notable absentees.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Fleetwood Town have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Sheffield United have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Fleetwood Town have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Fleetwood Town will be without Cannon A., Thompson-Sommers.
- Sheffield United will be without One, Burrows H., McCallum S., Seriki, Chong.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | |
| 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 3 |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 3 |
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | |
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Fleetwood Town at 23%. The model puts the draw at 21%. The model puts Sheffield United at 55%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-3.
The market leans toward Sheffield United. Fleetwood Town is priced at 4.94. The draw is priced at 4. Sheffield United is priced at 1.66.
Fleetwood Town have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. Sheffield United have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings.
Fleetwood Town have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Fleetwood Town are on 3 wins in a row. Sheffield United have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
Fleetwood Town average 3 goals per game this season. Fleetwood Town average 37% possession. Sheffield United average 3 goals per game this season. Sheffield United average 50% possession.
The model gives 81% for both teams to score. The model gives 88% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Fleetwood Town or Sheffield United?
Our model rates Sheffield United as the most likely outcome at 55% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Fleetwood Town vs Sheffield United?
A scoreline around 1-3 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 7 meetings: 1 Fleetwood Town wins, 3 draws, 3 Sheffield United wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.