Ipswich Town vs Arsenal: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Ipswich Townvs
ArsenalThe model puts Arsenal at 69%. The model leans toward Arsenal. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Arsenal.
- +The head-to-head record favours Arsenal (3-1-11).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Ipswich Town have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Arsenal have 5 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Ipswich Town have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Arsenal is priced at 1.408.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 16 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 2 |
| 1 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | ||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Ipswich Town at 12%. The model puts the draw at 19%. The model puts Arsenal at 69%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Arsenal. Ipswich Town is priced at 7.8. The draw is priced at 4.66. Arsenal is priced at 1.408.
Ipswich Town have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. Arsenal have won 11 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Ipswich Town have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Arsenal have 5 wins in their last 5 matches. Arsenal are on 5 wins in a row.
The model gives 38% for both teams to score. The model gives 46% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Ipswich Town or Arsenal?
Our model rates Arsenal as the most likely outcome at 69% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Ipswich Town vs Arsenal?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 3 Ipswich Town wins, 1 draws, 11 Arsenal wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.