Everton vs Wolverhampton Wanderers: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Evertonvs
Wolverhampton WanderersThe model puts Everton at 58%. The model leans toward Everton. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Everton have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Wolverhampton Wanderers have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Everton have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Everton is priced at 1.62.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 12 | 9 | 4 | |||
| 2 | 12 | 10 | 4 | |||
| 3 | 9 | 7 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Everton at 58%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Wolverhampton Wanderers at 17%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Everton. Everton is priced at 1.62. The draw is priced at 3.98. Wolverhampton Wanderers is priced at 5.4.
Everton have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. Wolverhampton Wanderers have won 7 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings.
Everton have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Wolverhampton Wanderers have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
Wolverhampton Wanderers average 3 goals per game this season. Wolverhampton Wanderers average 69% possession.
The model gives 48% for both teams to score. The model gives 54% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Everton or Wolverhampton Wanderers?
Our model rates Everton as the most likely outcome at 58% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Everton vs Wolverhampton Wanderers?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 5 Everton wins, 3 draws, 7 Wolverhampton Wanderers wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.