Everton vs Wolverhampton Wanderers: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Evertonvs
Wolverhampton WanderersThe model puts Everton at 64%. The model's most likely scoreline is 4-1. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
- −Everton are dealing with notable absentees.
- +Wolverhampton Wanderers are dealing with notable absentees.
Win probabilities
Expected goals
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Everton take 29 shots per game.
- Everton average 68% possession.
- Everton average 4 goals per game this season.
- Wolverhampton Wanderers have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Wolverhampton Wanderers will be without Bellegarde, Djiga, Mosquera, Said.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | ||||||
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 2 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 4 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 5 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
Everton average 4 goals per game this season. Wolverhampton Wanderers average 2 goals per game this season. Everton take 29 shots per game. Wolverhampton Wanderers take 13 shots per game.
Everton average 68% possession. Wolverhampton Wanderers average 52% possession.
Everton have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Wolverhampton Wanderers have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
Wolverhampton Wanderers have won 7 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings. Everton have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings.
Everton will be without Norgaard C., Rohl. Wolverhampton Wanderers will be without Bellegarde, Djiga, Mosquera, Said.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Everton or Wolverhampton Wanderers?
Our model rates Everton as the most likely outcome at 64% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Everton vs Wolverhampton Wanderers?
A scoreline around 4-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 5 Everton wins, 3 draws, 7 Wolverhampton Wanderers wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.