Nurnberg vs Hannover 96: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Nurnbergvs
Hannover 96The model puts Nurnberg at 40%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Nurnberg.
- +The head-to-head record favours Nurnberg (7-4-4).
- −Nurnberg are dealing with notable absentees.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Nurnberg have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Hannover 96 have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Nurnberg have won 7 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Nurnberg will be without Osawe, Mkrtchyan.
- Hannover 96 will be without Hugonet.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 2 | |
| 2 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 2 | |
| 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | |
| 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 5 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Nurnberg at 40%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts Hannover 96 at 36%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-1.
The market frames this as a close contest. Nurnberg is priced at 2.55. The draw is priced at 3.64. Hannover 96 is priced at 2.47.
Nurnberg have won 7 of the head-to-head meetings. Hannover 96 have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 4 of their head-to-head meetings.
Nurnberg have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Hannover 96 have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
Nurnberg average 3 goals per game this season. Nurnberg average 56% possession. Hannover 96 average 1 goals per game this season. Hannover 96 average 55% possession.
The model gives 70% for both teams to score. The model gives 71% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Nurnberg or Hannover 96?
Our model rates Nurnberg as the most likely outcome at 40% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Nurnberg vs Hannover 96?
A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 7 Nurnberg wins, 4 draws, 4 Hannover 96 wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
League table
Germany. 2. Bundesliga| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hertha BSC | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12:5 | 12 |
| 2 | Nurnberg | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13:5 | 10 |
| 3 |  1. Heidenheim | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11:10 | 9 |
| 4 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10:6 | 8 |
| 5 |  1. Kaiserslautern | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:1 | 8 |
| 6 |  VfL Bochum | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 6 |
| 7 |  1. Magdeburg | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:8 | 6 |
| 8 |  VfL Osnabruck | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:8 | 6 |
| 9 |  Karlsruher | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:8 | 5 |
| 10 |  Arminia Bielefeld | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7:8 | 4 |
| 11 |  Energie Cottbus | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10:12 | 4 |
| 12 |  Greuther Furth | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7:9 | 4 |
| 13 | Hannover 96 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:6 | 4 |
| 14 |  Eintracht Braunschweig | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10:10 | 3 |
| 15 |  St. Pauli | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6:7 | 3 |
| 16 |  Holstein | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6:8 | 3 |
| 17 |  Dynamo Dresden | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5:10 | 3 |
| 18 |  Darmstadt 98 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2:7 | 1 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.