VfL Bochum vs Greuther Furth: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
VfL Bochumvs
Greuther FurthThe model puts VfL Bochum at 48%. The model leans toward VfL Bochum. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head record favours Greuther Furth (2-4-9).
- −VfL Bochum are dealing with notable absentees.
- +Greuther Furth are dealing with notable absentees.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- VfL Bochum have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Greuther Furth have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- VfL Bochum have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- VfL Bochum will be without Cokaj, Drakas, Mbom J..
- Greuther Furth will be without Dal, Zank, Appelkamp.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 24 | 13 | 4 | |||
| 1 | 21 | 11 | 3 | |||
| 2 | 9 | 5 | 1 | |||
| 3 | 3 | 1 | ||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts VfL Bochum at 48%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts Greuther Furth at 29%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward VfL Bochum. VfL Bochum is priced at 1.92. The draw is priced at 3.68. Greuther Furth is priced at 3.63.
VfL Bochum have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. Greuther Furth have won 9 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 4 of their head-to-head meetings.
VfL Bochum have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. VfL Bochum are on 4 wins in a row. Greuther Furth have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Greuther Furth are on 2 wins in a row.
VfL Bochum average 0 goals per game this season. VfL Bochum average 56% possession. Greuther Furth average 1 goals per game this season. Greuther Furth average 42% possession.
The model gives 24% for both teams to score. The model gives 17% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, VfL Bochum or Greuther Furth?
Our model rates VfL Bochum as the most likely outcome at 48% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for VfL Bochum vs Greuther Furth?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 2 VfL Bochum wins, 4 draws, 9 Greuther Furth wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
Odds movement
Match statistics
VfL Bochum
- 1Horn T.
- 5Mets K.
- 10Taz
- 13Olsen O.
- 15Steinwender M.
- 17Holtmann
- 23Miyoshi
- 24Pannewig
- 32Wittek
- 33Hofmann
- 34Tom Meyer
- Cokaj (Questionable)
- Drakas (Missing Player)
- Mbom J. (Missing Player)
Greuther Furth
- 1Hellstern
- 6Bance
- 7Srbeny
- 10Pohlmann
- 13Will P.
- 22Heuer
- 23Dehm
- 27Itter
- 29Keresztes K.
- 30Felix Klaus
- 37Ademi
- Dal (Questionable)
- Zank (Questionable)
- Appelkamp (Questionable)
League table
Germany. 2. Bundesliga| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hertha BSC | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12:5 | 12 |
| 2 |  Nurnberg | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13:5 | 10 |
| 3 |  1. Heidenheim | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11:10 | 9 |
| 4 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10:6 | 8 |
| 5 |  1. Kaiserslautern | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:1 | 8 |
| 6 | VfL Bochum | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 6 |
| 7 |  1. Magdeburg | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:8 | 6 |
| 8 |  VfL Osnabruck | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:8 | 6 |
| 9 |  Karlsruher | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:8 | 5 |
| 10 |  Arminia Bielefeld | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7:8 | 4 |
| 11 |  Energie Cottbus | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10:12 | 4 |
| 12 | Greuther Furth | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7:9 | 4 |
| 13 |  Hannover 96 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:6 | 4 |
| 14 |  Eintracht Braunschweig | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10:10 | 3 |
| 15 |  St. Pauli | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6:7 | 3 |
| 16 |  Holstein | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6:8 | 3 |
| 17 |  Dynamo Dresden | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5:10 | 3 |
| 18 |  Darmstadt 98 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2:7 | 1 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.