1. Magdeburg vs 1. Kaiserslautern: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
1. Magdeburgvs
1. KaiserslauternThe model puts 1. Magdeburg at 43%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours 1. Kaiserslautern.
- +The head-to-head record favours 1. Magdeburg (6-5-3).
- −1. Magdeburg are dealing with notable absentees.
- +1. Kaiserslautern are dealing with notable absentees.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- 1. Magdeburg have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- 1. Kaiserslautern have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- 1. Magdeburg have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings.
- 1. Magdeburg will be without Muller Tobi., Musonda L..
- 1. Kaiserslautern will be without Gibs, Onohiol, Skytta, Lukovic, Prtajin.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 24 | 15 | 4 | |||
| 1 | 20 | 12 | 4 | |||
| 2 | 8 | 5 | 1 | |||
| 3 | 2 | 1 | ||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts 1. Magdeburg at 43%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts 1. Kaiserslautern at 33%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. 1. Magdeburg is priced at 2.2. The draw is priced at 3.62. 1. Kaiserslautern is priced at 2.975.
1. Magdeburg have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings. 1. Kaiserslautern have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 5 of their head-to-head meetings.
1. Magdeburg have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. 1. Kaiserslautern have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. 1. Kaiserslautern are on 3 wins in a row.
1. Magdeburg average 1 goals per game this season. 1. Magdeburg average 47% possession. 1. Kaiserslautern average 0 goals per game this season. 1. Kaiserslautern average 37% possession.
The model gives 25% for both teams to score. The model gives 17% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, 1. Magdeburg or 1. Kaiserslautern?
Our model rates 1. Magdeburg as the most likely outcome at 43% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for 1. Magdeburg vs 1. Kaiserslautern?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 14 meetings: 6 1. Magdeburg wins, 5 draws, 3 1. Kaiserslautern wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
Odds movement
Match statistics
1. Magdeburg
- 1Rainmann
- 3Гарсия Макналти
- 6Jaeckel P.
- 7Bockhorn
- 8Iyoha
- 10Kwarteng
- 17Nollenberger
- 21Michel
- 22Zukowski M.
- 23Atik Bar.
- 38Hyrylainen
- Muller Tobi. (Missing Player)
- Musonda L. (Missing Player)
1. Kaiserslautern
- 1Krahl J.
- 4Gyamfi
- 6Kunze F.
- 7Ritter M.
- 8Sahin
- 14Rasmussen J.
- 20Berisha M.
- 22Haas
- 26Joly
- 33Elvedi J.
- 39Tazemeta
- Gibs (Missing Player)
- Onohiol (Missing Player)
- Skytta (Missing Player)
- Lukovic (Questionable)
- Prtajin (Missing Player)
League table
Germany. 2. Bundesliga| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hertha BSC | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12:5 | 12 |
| 2 |  Nurnberg | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13:5 | 10 |
| 3 |  1. Heidenheim | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11:10 | 9 |
| 4 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10:6 | 8 |
| 5 | 1. Kaiserslautern | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:1 | 8 |
| 6 |  VfL Bochum | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 6 |
| 7 | 1. Magdeburg | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:8 | 6 |
| 8 |  VfL Osnabruck | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:8 | 6 |
| 9 |  Karlsruher | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:8 | 5 |
| 10 |  Arminia Bielefeld | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7:8 | 4 |
| 11 |  Energie Cottbus | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10:12 | 4 |
| 12 |  Greuther Furth | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7:9 | 4 |
| 13 |  Hannover 96 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:6 | 4 |
| 14 |  Eintracht Braunschweig | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10:10 | 3 |
| 15 |  St. Pauli | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6:7 | 3 |
| 16 |  Holstein | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6:8 | 3 |
| 17 |  Dynamo Dresden | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5:10 | 3 |
| 18 |  Darmstadt 98 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2:7 | 1 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.