Ivory Coast vs Ghana: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Ivory Coastvs
GhanaThe model puts Ivory Coast at 52%. The model leans toward Ivory Coast. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Ghana.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Ivory Coast have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Ghana have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Ivory Coast have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Ivory Coast is priced at 1.67.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 7 | 3 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 6 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Ivory Coast at 52%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts Ghana at 22%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Ivory Coast. Ivory Coast is priced at 1.67. The draw is priced at 3.54. Ghana is priced at 5.04.
Ivory Coast have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. Ghana have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Ivory Coast have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Ghana have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Ghana are on 2 wins in a row.
The model gives 49% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Ivory Coast or Ghana?
Our model rates Ivory Coast as the most likely outcome at 52% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Ivory Coast vs Ghana?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 13 meetings: 5 Ivory Coast wins, 2 draws, 6 Ghana wins.
League table
Africa Cup of Nations (Qualification)| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Morocco | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 |  Lesotho | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 |  Gabon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 |  Niger | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.