Central African Republic vs Burkina Faso: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Central African Republicvs
Burkina FasoThe model puts Burkina Faso at 73%. The model leans toward Burkina Faso. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head record favours Central African Republic (2-0-1).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Central African Republic have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Burkina Faso have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Central African Republic have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Burkina Faso is priced at 1.25.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 16 | 17 | 12 | 6 | 3 |
| 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Central African Republic at 9%. The model puts the draw at 17%. The model puts Burkina Faso at 73%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-2.
The market leans toward Burkina Faso. Central African Republic is priced at 11.2. The draw is priced at 5.25. Burkina Faso is priced at 1.25.
Central African Republic have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. Burkina Faso have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Central African Republic have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Burkina Faso have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 33% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Central African Republic or Burkina Faso?
Our model rates Burkina Faso as the most likely outcome at 73% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Central African Republic vs Burkina Faso?
A scoreline around 0-2 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 3 meetings: 2 Central African Republic wins, 0 draws, 1 Burkina Faso wins.
League table
Africa Cup of Nations (Qualification)| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Morocco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 2 |  Niger | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 3 |  Lesotho | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 4 |  Gabon | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:2 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.