Cape Verde vs Rwanda: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Cape Verdevs
RwandaThe model puts Cape Verde at 70%. The model leans toward Cape Verde. Confidence: high.
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Cape Verde have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Rwanda have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Cape Verde is priced at 1.32.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 4 | ||||
| 1 | 16 | 8 | 2 | |||
| 2 | 16 | 8 | 2 | |||
| 3 | 11 | 6 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 6 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 3 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Cape Verde at 70%. The model puts the draw at 21%. The model puts Rwanda at 9%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Cape Verde. Cape Verde is priced at 1.32. The draw is priced at 4.45. Rwanda is priced at 10.3.
The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Cape Verde have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Rwanda have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 35% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Cape Verde or Rwanda?
Our model rates Cape Verde as the most likely outcome at 70% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Cape Verde vs Rwanda?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 2 meetings: 0 Cape Verde wins, 2 draws, 0 Rwanda wins.
League table
Africa Cup of Nations (Qualification)| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Morocco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 2 |  Niger | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 3 |  Lesotho | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 4 |  Gabon | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:2 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.