Congo vs Cameroon: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Congovs
CameroonThe model puts Cameroon at 59%. The model leans toward Cameroon. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Congo.
- −The head-to-head record favours Congo (3-3-1).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Congo have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Cameroon have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Congo have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Cameroon is priced at 1.47.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 |
| 1 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 3 | |
| 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | |
| 3 | 1 | |||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Congo at 19%. The model puts the draw at 21%. The model puts Cameroon at 59%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Cameroon. Congo is priced at 6.44. The draw is priced at 4.1. Cameroon is priced at 1.47.
Congo have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. Cameroon have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings.
Congo have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Cameroon have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 45% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Congo or Cameroon?
Our model rates Cameroon as the most likely outcome at 59% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Congo vs Cameroon?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 7 meetings: 3 Congo wins, 3 draws, 1 Cameroon wins.
League table
Africa Cup of Nations (Qualification)| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Morocco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 2 |  Niger | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 3 |  Lesotho | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 4 |  Gabon | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:2 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.