Zimbabwe vs DR Congo: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Zimbabwevs
DR CongoThe model puts DR Congo at 53%. The model leans toward DR Congo. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Zimbabwe.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Zimbabwe have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- DR Congo have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Zimbabwe have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- DR Congo is priced at 1.67.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 13 | 11 | 6 | 3 | |
| 1 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 2 | |
| 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | |
| 3 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Zimbabwe at 21%. The model puts the draw at 27%. The model puts DR Congo at 53%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward DR Congo. Zimbabwe is priced at 5.38. The draw is priced at 3.4. DR Congo is priced at 1.67.
Zimbabwe have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. DR Congo have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Zimbabwe have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Zimbabwe are on 2 wins in a row. DR Congo have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 48% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Zimbabwe or DR Congo?
Our model rates DR Congo as the most likely outcome at 53% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Zimbabwe vs DR Congo?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 4 meetings: 1 Zimbabwe wins, 2 draws, 1 DR Congo wins.
League table
Africa Cup of Nations (Qualification)| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Morocco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 2 |  Niger | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 3 |  Lesotho | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 4 |  Gabon | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:2 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.