Karlsruher vs Energie Cottbus: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Karlsruhervs
Energie CottbusThe model puts Karlsruher at 54%. The model leans toward Karlsruher. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
- −Karlsruher are dealing with notable absentees.
- +Energie Cottbus are dealing with notable absentees.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Karlsruher have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Energie Cottbus have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Karlsruher have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Karlsruher will be without Santos H., Broschinski.
- Energie Cottbus will be without Engelhardt, Gutta J..
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 24 | 11 | 3 | |||
| 1 | 23 | 11 | 2 | |||
| 2 | 11 | 5 | 1 | |||
| 3 | 4 | 2 | ||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Karlsruher at 54%. The model puts the draw at 22%. The model puts Energie Cottbus at 24%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Karlsruher. Karlsruher is priced at 1.72. The draw is priced at 4.25. Energie Cottbus is priced at 4.01.
Karlsruher have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. Energie Cottbus have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings.
Karlsruher have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Energie Cottbus have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
Karlsruher average 1 goals per game this season. Karlsruher average 62% possession. Energie Cottbus average 0 goals per game this season. Energie Cottbus average 60% possession.
The model gives 23% for both teams to score. The model gives 17% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Karlsruher or Energie Cottbus?
Our model rates Karlsruher as the most likely outcome at 54% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Karlsruher vs Energie Cottbus?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 14 meetings: 5 Karlsruher wins, 3 draws, 6 Energie Cottbus wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
Match statistics
Karlsruher
- 1Bernat
- 2Jung S.
- 3Ofli
- 7Wiethaup
- 10Wanitzek
- 11Eichinger
- 13Fukuda
- 19Ben Farhat
- 22Kobald
- 26Zor
- 28Franke M.
- Santos H. (Missing Player)
- Broschinski (Questionable)
Energie Cottbus
- 1Lotka
- 2Manu
- 3Rorig
- 7Kinsombi
- 8Michelbrink
- 9Copado
- 10Cigerci
- 11Hannemann
- 20Borgmann
- 21Erlein
- 32Bittencourt L.
- Engelhardt (Missing Player)
- Gutta J. (Missing Player)
League table
Germany. 2. Bundesliga| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nurnberg | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15:6 | 13 |
| 2 |  Hertha BSC | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12:5 | 12 |
| 3 |  1. Heidenheim | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11:10 | 9 |
| 4 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10:6 | 8 |
| 5 |  1. Kaiserslautern | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:1 | 8 |
| 6 |  VfL Bochum | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 6 |
| 7 |  1. Magdeburg | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:8 | 6 |
| 8 |  VfL Osnabruck | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:8 | 6 |
| 9 | Karlsruher | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:8 | 5 |
| 10 | Energie Cottbus | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10:12 | 4 |
| 11 |  Arminia Bielefeld | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8:10 | 4 |
| 12 |  Greuther Furth | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7:9 | 4 |
| 13 |  Hannover 96 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5:8 | 4 |
| 14 |  Darmstadt 98 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4:8 | 4 |
| 15 |  Eintracht Braunschweig | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10:10 | 3 |
| 16 |  St. Pauli | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6:7 | 3 |
| 17 |  Holstein | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6:8 | 3 |
| 18 |  Dynamo Dresden | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5:10 | 3 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.