VfL Osnabruck vs Hertha BSC: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
VfL Osnabruckvs
Hertha BSCThe model puts Hertha BSC at 46%. The model leans toward Hertha BSC. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Hertha BSC.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- VfL Osnabruck have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Hertha BSC have 5 wins in their last 5 matches.
- VfL Osnabruck have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Hertha BSC will be without Seguin.
- Hertha BSC is priced at 2.06.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 25 | 20 | 8 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 15 | 12 | 5 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | |||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts VfL Osnabruck at 28%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Hertha BSC at 46%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Hertha BSC. VfL Osnabruck is priced at 3.22. The draw is priced at 3.68. Hertha BSC is priced at 2.06.
VfL Osnabruck have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. Hertha BSC have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings.
VfL Osnabruck have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Hertha BSC have 5 wins in their last 5 matches. Hertha BSC are on 5 wins in a row.
VfL Osnabruck average 0 goals per game this season. VfL Osnabruck average 40% possession. Hertha BSC average 1 goals per game this season. Hertha BSC average 44% possession.
The model gives 25% for both teams to score. The model gives 16% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, VfL Osnabruck or Hertha BSC?
Our model rates Hertha BSC as the most likely outcome at 46% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for VfL Osnabruck vs Hertha BSC?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 11 meetings: 3 VfL Osnabruck wins, 3 draws, 5 Hertha BSC wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
Odds movement
Match statistics
VfL Osnabruck
- 10Badje
- 11Meissner R.
- 15Jacobsen B.
- 21Beck
- 24Muller J.
- 25Wiemann
- 26Wagner F.
- 27Fabinski
- 31Kammerbauer
- 32Krumrey
- 42Jogo
Hertha BSC
- 2Eitschberger
- 7Brekalo
- 8Sessa K.
- 17Gronning S.
- 22Pedersen Mad.
- 23Thorsteinsson J.
- 27Kolbe
- 33Gouram
- 35Gersbeck
- 41Klemens P.
- 44Gechter
- Seguin (Missing Player)
League table
Germany. 2. Bundesliga| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nurnberg | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15:6 | 13 |
| 2 | Hertha BSC | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12:5 | 12 |
| 3 |  1. Heidenheim | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11:10 | 9 |
| 4 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10:6 | 8 |
| 5 |  1. Kaiserslautern | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:1 | 8 |
| 6 |  VfL Bochum | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 6 |
| 7 |  1. Magdeburg | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:8 | 6 |
| 8 | VfL Osnabruck | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:8 | 6 |
| 9 |  Karlsruher | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:8 | 5 |
| 10 |  Energie Cottbus | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10:12 | 4 |
| 11 |  Arminia Bielefeld | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8:10 | 4 |
| 12 |  Greuther Furth | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7:9 | 4 |
| 13 |  Hannover 96 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5:8 | 4 |
| 14 |  Darmstadt 98 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4:8 | 4 |
| 15 |  Eintracht Braunschweig | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10:10 | 3 |
| 16 |  St. Pauli | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6:7 | 3 |
| 17 |  Holstein | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6:8 | 3 |
| 18 |  Dynamo Dresden | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5:10 | 3 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.