ADO Den Haag vs Cambuur: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
ADO Den Haagvs
CambuurThe model puts ADO Den Haag at 50%. The model leans toward ADO Den Haag. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Cambuur.
- −The head-to-head record favours Cambuur (5-2-8).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- ADO Den Haag have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Cambuur have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- ADO Den Haag have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings.
- ADO Den Haag is priced at 1.784.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11 | 9 | 4 | |||
| 1 | 16 | 12 | 5 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 11 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 1 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts ADO Den Haag at 50%. The model puts the draw at 22%. The model puts Cambuur at 28%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward ADO Den Haag. ADO Den Haag is priced at 1.784. The draw is priced at 4.04. Cambuur is priced at 4.06.
ADO Den Haag have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. Cambuur have won 8 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
ADO Den Haag have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Cambuur have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
ADO Den Haag average 1 goals per game this season. ADO Den Haag average 55% possession. Cambuur average 1 goals per game this season. Cambuur average 64% possession.
The model gives 41% for both teams to score. The model gives 37% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, ADO Den Haag or Cambuur?
Our model rates ADO Den Haag as the most likely outcome at 50% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for ADO Den Haag vs Cambuur?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 5 ADO Den Haag wins, 2 draws, 8 Cambuur wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
League table
Netherlands. Eredivisie| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PSV Eindhoven | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 22:7 | 16 |
| 2 |  AZ Alkmaar | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 17:6 | 16 |
| 3 |  Feyenoord | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 20:7 | 14 |
| 4 |  Twente | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:5 | 13 |
| 5 |  Ajax | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14:6 | 10 |
| 6 |  Excelsior | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13:7 | 10 |
| 7 |  Fortuna Sittard | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12:14 | 10 |
| 8 |  Go Ahead Eagles | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 15:13 | 9 |
| 9 |  Groningen | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12:13 | 8 |
| 10 |  N.E.C. | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 11:12 | 7 |
| 11 |  Heerenveen | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | 6 |
| 12 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10:13 | 5 |
| 13 |  Telstar | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:11 | 5 |
| 14 |  Utrecht | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 11:19 | 5 |
| 15 | Cambuur | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 9:18 | 4 |
| 16 |  PEC Zwolle | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6:17 | 4 |
| 17 |  Willem II | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5:14 | 2 |
| 18 | ADO Den Haag | 6 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6:16 | 1 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.