Udinese Calcio vs Cagliari Calcio: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Udinese Calciovs
Cagliari CalcioThe model puts Udinese Calcio at 43%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head record favours Cagliari Calcio (2-4-9).
- −Recent form favours Udinese Calcio.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Udinese Calcio have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Cagliari Calcio have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Udinese Calcio have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Udinese Calcio is priced at 2.09.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Udinese Calcio at 43%. The model puts the draw at 27%. The model puts Cagliari Calcio at 30%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Udinese Calcio. Udinese Calcio is priced at 2.09. The draw is priced at 3.22. Cagliari Calcio is priced at 3.76.
Udinese Calcio have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. Cagliari Calcio have won 9 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 4 of their head-to-head meetings.
Udinese Calcio have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Cagliari Calcio have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Udinese Calcio or Cagliari Calcio?
Our model rates Udinese Calcio as the most likely outcome at 43% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Udinese Calcio vs Cagliari Calcio?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 2 Udinese Calcio wins, 4 draws, 9 Cagliari Calcio wins.
League table
Italy. Serie A| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Roma | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:1 | 9 |
| 2 |  Internazionale Milano | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:3 | 9 |
| 3 |  Lazio | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 9 |
| 4 |  Como | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 5 |  Milan | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 7 |
| 6 |  Juventus | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:1 | 7 |
| 7 |  Frosinone Calcio | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 6 |
| 8 |  Atalanta | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 9 | Cagliari Calcio | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 6 |
| 10 | Udinese Calcio | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 4 |
| 11 |  Sassuolo Calcio | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 4 |
| 12 |  Napoli | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:5 | 3 |
| 13 |  Torino | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:5 | 3 |
| 15 |  Bologna 1909 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | 1 |
| 16 |  Parma | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:4 | 1 |
| 17 |  Monza 1912 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4:8 | 1 |
| 18 |  Unione Venezia | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2:7 | 0 |
| 19 |  Genoa | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1:7 | 0 |
| 20 |  Fiorentina | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1:9 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.