Club Atletico Lanus vs Estudiantes de La Plata: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Club Atletico Lanusvs
Estudiantes de La PlataThe model puts Club Atletico Lanus at 43%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head record favours Estudiantes de La Plata (3-6-6).
- −Club Atletico Lanus are dealing with notable absentees.
- +Estudiantes de La Plata are dealing with notable absentees.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Club Atletico Lanus have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Estudiantes de La Plata have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Club Atletico Lanus have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Club Atletico Lanus will be without Carrera R., Loaiza R., Moreno Marc..
- Estudiantes de La Plata will be without Palacios, Alario, Arzamendia S., Carlos Joaquin Correa.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Club Atletico Lanus at 43%. The model puts the draw at 29%. The model puts Estudiantes de La Plata at 27%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Club Atletico Lanus. Club Atletico Lanus is priced at 2.165. The draw is priced at 3.064. Estudiantes de La Plata is priced at 3.78.
Club Atletico Lanus have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. Estudiantes de La Plata have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 6 of their head-to-head meetings.
Club Atletico Lanus have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Estudiantes de La Plata have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 51% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Club Atletico Lanus or Estudiantes de La Plata?
Our model rates Club Atletico Lanus as the most likely outcome at 43% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Club Atletico Lanus vs Estudiantes de La Plata?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 3 Club Atletico Lanus wins, 6 draws, 6 Estudiantes de La Plata wins.
Odds movement
Match statistics
Club Atletico Lanus
- 5Pena Biafore
- 6Marcich
- 11Salvio
- 13Dominguez J.
- 16Sepulveda M.
- 20Wlk
- 24Izquierdoz
- 26Losada N.
- 30Cardozo A.
- 33Guidara
- 77Besozzi
- Carrera R. (Missing Player)
- Loaiza R. (Missing Player)
- Moreno Marc. (Missing Player)
Estudiantes de La Plata
- 4Nunez
- 8Neves Perdomo
- 9Carrillo G.
- 13Benedetti
- 14Gonzalez Lean.
- 16Muslera
- 17Burgos
- 18Cetre
- 20Meza
- 21Piovi L.
- 31Rodriguez
- Palacios (Missing Player)
- Alario (Missing Player)
- Arzamendia S. (Missing Player)
- Carlos Joaquin Correa (Questionable)
League table
Argentina. Primera Division| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Instituto Atletico Central Cordoba | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 13:7 | 22 |
| 2 |  Defensa y Justicia | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13:11 | 18 |
| 3 |  Club Atletico Gimnasia y Esgrima | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14:9 | 17 |
| 4 |  Velez Sarsfield | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 12:7 | 17 |
| 5 |  Boca Juniors | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14:11 | 17 |
| 6 |  CA Independiente Avellaneda | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 10:8 | 17 |
| 7 | Club Atletico Lanus | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 11:8 | 13 |
| 8 |  Newell's Old Boys | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:8 | 13 |
| 9 |  Union de Santa Fe | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 17:16 | 13 |
| 10 |  San Lorenzo de Almagro | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 4:8 | 11 |
| 11 | Estudiantes de La Plata | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 9:9 | 10 |
| 12 |  Deportivo Riestra | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8:10 | 10 |
| 13 |  Platense | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9:14 | 9 |
| 14 |  Talleres de Cordoba | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 11:17 | 8 |
| 15 |  Central Cordoba de Santiago | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 7:13 | 8 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.