South Sudan vs Egypt: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
South Sudanvs
EgyptThe model puts Egypt at 78%. The model leans toward Egypt. Confidence: high.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- South Sudan have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Egypt have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- South Sudan have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Egypt is priced at 1.186.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 17 | 19 | 14 | 8 | 3 |
| 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts South Sudan at 6%. The model puts the draw at 15%. The model puts Egypt at 78%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-2.
The market leans toward Egypt. South Sudan is priced at 14.4. The draw is priced at 6. Egypt is priced at 1.186.
South Sudan have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
South Sudan have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Egypt have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 27% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, South Sudan or Egypt?
Our model rates Egypt as the most likely outcome at 78% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for South Sudan vs Egypt?
A scoreline around 0-2 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 1 South Sudan wins, 0 draws, 0 Egypt wins.
League table
Africa Cup of Nations (Qualification)| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Morocco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 2 |  Niger | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 3 |  Lesotho | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 4 |  Gabon | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:2 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.