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Croatian Cup

NK Bedem Ivankovo vs Dinamo Zagreb: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

NK Bedem Ivankovo NK Bedem IvankovovsDinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb
Our predictionDinamo Zagreb to win
Model score: Medium · 50/100
Score hint: 0-2

The model puts Dinamo Zagreb at 92%. Data on this fixture is limited, so the prediction carries extra uncertainty. Confidence: medium.

Win probabilities

1 · NK Bedem Ivankovo3%
Draw5%
2 · Dinamo Zagreb92%
1 · NK Bedem IvankovoDraw2 · Dinamo Zagreb
Full team comparison

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

O/U 2.5Under 2.55.00+20.3%
1X2NK Bedem Ivankovo40.00+0.9%
1X2Draw18.00-0.0%
1X2Dinamo Zagreb1.02-0.8%
O/U 2.5Over 2.51.14-20.3%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Expected goals

0.20NK Bedem Ivankovo
xG
2.95Dinamo Zagreb
Over 2.5 goals61%
Both teams to score17%
Team strength rating
NK Bedem Ivankovo
32
Dinamo Zagreb
85

Most likely scorelines

0-218.6%
0-318.3%
0-413.5%
0-112.6%
0-58.0%
0-04.3%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
NK Bedem Ivankovo Dinamo Zagreb

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Dinamo Zagreb win1.02Fair (-0.8%)
Total goalsOver 2.51.14Fair

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
04131918138
134432
2
3
4
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts NK Bedem Ivankovo at 3%. The model puts the draw at 5%. The model puts Dinamo Zagreb at 92%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-2.

The market leans toward Dinamo Zagreb. NK Bedem Ivankovo is priced at 40. The draw is priced at 18. Dinamo Zagreb is priced at 1.025.

The model gives 17% for both teams to score. The model gives 61% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track RecordMethodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, NK Bedem Ivankovo or Dinamo Zagreb?

Our model rates Dinamo Zagreb as the most likely outcome at 92% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for NK Bedem Ivankovo vs Dinamo Zagreb?

A scoreline around 0-2 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.

See odds at bookmakers

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.