Sonnenhof vs Augsburg: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Sonnenhofvs
AugsburgThe model puts Augsburg at 67%. The model leans toward Augsburg. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Sonnenhof.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Match DNA
Key points
- Sonnenhof have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Augsburg have 0 wins in their last 4 matches.
- Augsburg is priced at 1.34.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 2 |
| 1 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | |
| 3 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Sonnenhof at 17%. The model puts the draw at 17%. The model puts Augsburg at 67%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-2.
The market leans toward Augsburg. Sonnenhof is priced at 7.27. The draw is priced at 5.4. Augsburg is priced at 1.34.
Sonnenhof have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Augsburg have 0 wins in their last 4 matches.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 62% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Sonnenhof or Augsburg?
Our model rates Augsburg as the most likely outcome at 67% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Sonnenhof vs Augsburg?
A scoreline around 0-2 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.