Rot-Weiss Essen vs RasenBallsport Leipzig: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Rot-Weiss Essenvs
RasenBallsport LeipzigThe model puts RasenBallsport Leipzig at 77%. The model leans toward RasenBallsport Leipzig. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head record favours Rot-Weiss Essen (2-0-1).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Rot-Weiss Essen have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- RasenBallsport Leipzig have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Rot-Weiss Essen have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- RasenBallsport Leipzig is priced at 1.183.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 17 | 17 | 12 | 6 | 3 |
| 1 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Rot-Weiss Essen at 10%. The model puts the draw at 13%. The model puts RasenBallsport Leipzig at 77%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-2.
The market leans toward RasenBallsport Leipzig. Rot-Weiss Essen is priced at 12. The draw is priced at 7.1. RasenBallsport Leipzig is priced at 1.183.
Rot-Weiss Essen have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. RasenBallsport Leipzig have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Rot-Weiss Essen have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. RasenBallsport Leipzig have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 31% for both teams to score. The model gives 46% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Rot-Weiss Essen or RasenBallsport Leipzig?
Our model rates RasenBallsport Leipzig as the most likely outcome at 77% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Rot-Weiss Essen vs RasenBallsport Leipzig?
A scoreline around 0-2 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 3 meetings: 2 Rot-Weiss Essen wins, 0 draws, 1 RasenBallsport Leipzig wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.