Brazil. Campeonato Brasileiro. Serie A

Flamengo vs Red Bull Bragantino: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

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Flamengovs

Red Bull Bragantino

Our predictionFlamengo to win

Model score: High · 92/100

Score hint: 2-0

The model puts Flamengo at 71%. The model leans toward Flamengo. Confidence: high.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

+Flamengo score more per game (2.0 at home vs 1.0 away).
+Flamengo creates more chances (18 vs 15 shots per game).
−The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
+Flamengo controls more of the ball (57% vs 49%).

Win probabilities

1 · Flamengo71%

Draw19%

2 · Red Bull Bragantino10%

1 · FlamengoDraw2 · Red Bull Bragantino

Full team comparison →

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo1.81+10.8%

1X2Flamengo1.36+1.3%

1X2Draw5.00-0.3%

1X2Red Bull Bragantino8.40-1.0%

BTTSYes1.89-10.8%

Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Recent form

FlamengoDWLLD

Red Bull BragantinoLWWLL

Team strength rating

Flamengo

Red Bull Bragantino

Expected goals

2.45Flamengo

0.54Red Bull Bragantino

Over 2.5 goals57%

Both teams to score38%

Most likely scorelines

2-015.1%

1-012.3%

3-012.3%

2-18.2%

4-07.5%

1-16.7%

Match DNA

Flamengo Red Bull Bragantino

Key points

Flamengo have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
Red Bull Bragantino have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
Flamengo have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings.
Flamengo is priced at 1.36.

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment

1X2Flamengo win1.36Fair (+1.3%)

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A	0	1	2
0	5	3
1	12	7	2
2	15	8	2
3	12	7	2
4	8	4	1
5	4	2

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Flamengo at 71%. The model puts the draw at 19%. The model puts Red Bull Bragantino at 10%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.

The market leans toward Flamengo. Flamengo is priced at 1.36. The draw is priced at 5. Red Bull Bragantino is priced at 8.4.

Flamengo have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. Red Bull Bragantino have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 4 of their head-to-head meetings.

Flamengo have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Red Bull Bragantino have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.

Flamengo average 2 goals per game this season. Flamengo average 57% possession. Red Bull Bragantino average 1 goals per game this season. Red Bull Bragantino average 49% possession.

The model gives 38% for both teams to score. The model gives 57% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track Record →Methodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Flamengo or Red Bull Bragantino?

Our model rates Flamengo as the most likely outcome at 71% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Flamengo vs Red Bull Bragantino?

A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 14 meetings: 5 Flamengo wins, 4 draws, 5 Red Bull Bragantino wins.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.

See odds at bookmakers

League table

Brazil. Campeonato Brasileiro. Serie A

#	Team	GP	W	L	T	G	Pts
1	Flamengo	27	17	4	6	53:22	57
2	Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras	27	16	3	8	47:21	56
3	Clube Atletico Paranaense	27	13	7	7	41:31	46
4	Bahia	27	12	5	10	42:33	46
5	Fluminense	27	12	6	9	41:35	45
6	Cruzeiro Esporte Clube	27	12	9	6	39:39	42
7	Clube Atletico Mineiro	26	11	9	6	35:31	39
8	Coritiba	27	10	9	8	37:38	38
9	Red Bull Bragantino	26	10	10	6	32:29	36
10	Santos	26	9	9	8	39:39	35
11	Sao Paulo	26	9	11	6	31:30	33
12	EC Vitoria Salvador	27	9	12	6	27:39	33
13	Corinthians Paulista	27	8	11	8	28:29	32
14	Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas	26	8	10	8	38:41	32
15	Mirassol	27	7	12	8	31:42	29
16	Gremio Porto Alegrense	26	7	12	7	28:35	28
17	CR Vasco da Gama	26	7	12	7	29:41	28
18	Sport Club Internacional	27	6	11	10	30:35	28
19	Clube do Remo	27	5	14	8	31:45	23
20	Chapecoense	26	3	15	8	28:52	17

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Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.