Russia vs Namibia: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Russiavs
NamibiaThe model puts Russia at 89%. Data on this fixture is limited, so the prediction carries extra uncertainty. Confidence: medium.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Russia is priced at 1.07.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6 | 1 | ||||
| 1 | 16 | 3 | ||||
| 2 | 21 | 4 | ||||
| 3 | 18 | 4 | ||||
| 4 | 11 | 2 | ||||
| 5 | 6 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Russia at 89%. The model puts the draw at 9%. The model puts Namibia at 3%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Russia. Russia is priced at 1.07. The draw is priced at 10.5. Namibia is priced at 37.
The model gives 17% for both teams to score. The model gives 52% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Russia or Namibia?
Our model rates Russia as the most likely outcome at 89% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Russia vs Namibia?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
League table
Friendlies. National Teams| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Australia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 6 |
| 2 |  Cameroon | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 3 |  China | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 4 |  Curacao | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:7 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.