Liga Deportiva Universitaria de Quito vs Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Liga Deportiva Universitaria de Quitovs
Sociedade Esportiva PalmeirasThe model puts Liga Deportiva Universitaria de Quito at 35%. The model puts Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras at 35%. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Liga Deportiva Universitaria de Quito have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- The model sees this as a close contest.
- The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 10 | 13 | 8 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
Liga Deportiva Universitaria de Quito have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
Liga Deportiva Universitaria de Quito have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
The model sees this as a close contest. The market frames this as a close contest.
The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Liga Deportiva Universitaria de Quito or Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras?
Our model rates Liga Deportiva Universitaria de Quito as the most likely outcome at 35% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Liga Deportiva Universitaria de Quito vs Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 5 meetings: 3 Liga Deportiva Universitaria de Quito wins, 0 draws, 2 Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras wins.
Odds movement
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.