Clube Atletico Mineiro vs Santos: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Clube Atletico Mineirovs
SantosThe model puts Clube Atletico Mineiro at 52%. The model leans toward Clube Atletico Mineiro. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Clube Atletico Mineiro have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Santos have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Clube Atletico Mineiro have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Clube Atletico Mineiro is priced at 1.795.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 6 | 3 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 7 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Clube Atletico Mineiro at 52%. The model puts the draw at 27%. The model puts Santos at 21%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Clube Atletico Mineiro. Clube Atletico Mineiro is priced at 1.795. The draw is priced at 3.64. Santos is priced at 4.48.
Clube Atletico Mineiro have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings. Santos have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings.
Clube Atletico Mineiro have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Santos have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 48% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Clube Atletico Mineiro or Santos?
Our model rates Clube Atletico Mineiro as the most likely outcome at 52% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Clube Atletico Mineiro vs Santos?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 6 Clube Atletico Mineiro wins, 3 draws, 6 Santos wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.