Dynamo Dresden vs Schalke 04: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Dynamo Dresdenvs
Schalke 04The model puts Schalke 04 at 48%. The model leans toward Schalke 04. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Dynamo Dresden.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Dynamo Dresden have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Schalke 04 have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Dynamo Dresden have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Schalke 04 is priced at 1.83.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 2 | |
| 1 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 2 | |
| 2 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Dynamo Dresden at 27%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Schalke 04 at 48%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Schalke 04. Dynamo Dresden is priced at 3.865. The draw is priced at 3.78. Schalke 04 is priced at 1.83.
Dynamo Dresden have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings. Schalke 04 have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 4 of their head-to-head meetings.
Dynamo Dresden have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Schalke 04 have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 51% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Dynamo Dresden or Schalke 04?
Our model rates Schalke 04 as the most likely outcome at 48% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Dynamo Dresden vs Schalke 04?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 6 Dynamo Dresden wins, 4 draws, 5 Schalke 04 wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.