Elversberg vs Darmstadt 98: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Elversbergvs
Darmstadt 98The model puts Elversberg at 64%. The model leans toward Elversberg. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Elversberg have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Darmstadt 98 have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Elversberg have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Elversberg is priced at 1.45.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 14 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 2 | 14 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 10 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 5 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Elversberg at 64%. The model puts the draw at 21%. The model puts Darmstadt 98 at 15%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Elversberg. Elversberg is priced at 1.45. The draw is priced at 4.7. Darmstadt 98 is priced at 5.96.
Elversberg have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. Darmstadt 98 have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 6 of their head-to-head meetings.
Elversberg have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Darmstadt 98 have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 41% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Elversberg or Darmstadt 98?
Our model rates Elversberg as the most likely outcome at 64% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Elversberg vs Darmstadt 98?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 5 Elversberg wins, 6 draws, 4 Darmstadt 98 wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.