Corinthians Paulista vs Estudiantes de La Plata: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Corinthians Paulistavs
Estudiantes de La PlataThe model leans toward Corinthians Paulista. The model puts Corinthians Paulista at 48%. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Estudiantes de La Plata.
- −Corinthians Paulista are dealing with notable absentees.
- +Estudiantes de La Plata are dealing with notable absentees.
- −The head-to-head record favours Estudiantes de La Plata (0-2-1).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Corinthians Paulista have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Estudiantes de La Plata have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
- Corinthians Paulista will be without Ramallo, Kayke, Сантос Диас, Labyad Z., Alberto.
- Estudiantes de La Plata will be without Benedetti, Palacios, Palacios T., Alario, Arzamendia S., Mori R..
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 6 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
Corinthians Paulista have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Estudiantes de La Plata have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
Estudiantes de La Plata have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Corinthians Paulista will be without Ramallo, Kayke, Сантос Диас, Labyad Z., Alberto. Estudiantes de La Plata will be without Benedetti, Palacios, Palacios T., Alario, Arzamendia S., Mori R..
The model puts the draw at 28%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Corinthians Paulista or Estudiantes de La Plata?
Our model rates Corinthians Paulista as the most likely outcome at 48% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Corinthians Paulista vs Estudiantes de La Plata?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 3 meetings: 0 Corinthians Paulista wins, 2 draws, 1 Estudiantes de La Plata wins.
Odds movement
Match statistics
Corinthians Paulista
- 1Souza H.
- 2Matheuzinho
- 3Paulista G.
- 7Bidon
- 8Garro
- 10Depay
- 13Henrique G.
- 19Andre Carrillo
- 21Bidu M.
- 29Allan R. S
- 37Kaio Cesar
- Ramallo (Missing Player)
- Kayke (Missing Player)
- Сантос Диас (Missing Player)
- Labyad Z. (Missing Player)
- Alberto (Missing Player)
Estudiantes de La Plata
- 4Nunez
- 8Neves Perdomo
- 9Carrillo G.
- 14Gonzalez Lean.
- 16Muslera
- 17Burgos
- 20Meza
- 22Castro Ale.
- 31Rodriguez
- 32Carlos Joaquin Correa
- 40Mancuso
- Benedetti (Missing Player)
- Palacios (Missing Player)
- Palacios T. (Missing Player)
- Alario (Missing Player)
- Arzamendia S. (Missing Player)
- Mori R. (Missing Player)
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.