Republic of Ireland vs Austria: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Republic of Irelandvs
AustriaThe model puts Austria at 47%. The model leans toward Austria. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Republic of Ireland.
- +The head-to-head record favours Austria (1-2-3).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Republic of Ireland have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Austria have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Republic of Ireland have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Austria is priced at 2.14.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 2 | |
| 1 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 2 | |
| 2 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | |
| 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Republic of Ireland at 25%. The model puts the draw at 27%. The model puts Austria at 47%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Austria. Republic of Ireland is priced at 3.52. The draw is priced at 3.3. Austria is priced at 2.14.
Republic of Ireland have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. Austria have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Republic of Ireland have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Austria have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Austria are on 2 wins in a row.
The model gives 51% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Republic of Ireland or Austria?
Our model rates Austria as the most likely outcome at 47% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Republic of Ireland vs Austria?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 1 Republic of Ireland wins, 2 draws, 3 Austria wins.
League table
UEFA Nations League - League B| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Switzerland | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 2 |  Scotland | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 3 |  Slovenia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 4 |  Republic of North Macedonia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:3 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.