Real Betis vs Porto: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
The model puts Real Betis at 44%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: high.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Match DNA
Key points
- Real Betis have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Porto have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Real Betis have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Real Betis is priced at 2.19.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Real Betis at 44%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts Porto at 30%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-1.
The market leans toward Real Betis. Real Betis is priced at 2.19. The draw is priced at 3.58. Porto is priced at 3.15.
Real Betis have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Real Betis have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Porto have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
Real Betis average 3 goals per game this season. Real Betis average 55% possession. Porto average 0 goals per game this season. Porto average 36% possession.
The model gives 57% for both teams to score. The model gives 56% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Real Betis or Porto?
Our model rates Real Betis as the most likely outcome at 44% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Real Betis vs Porto?
A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 1 Real Betis wins, 0 draws, 0 Porto wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
League table
UEFA Champions League (League stage)| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 3 | |
| 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 3 | |
| 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 3 | |
| 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 3 | |
| 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | |
| 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 | |
| 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 | |
| 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 | |
| 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 | |
| 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 | |
| 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 | |
| 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 | |
| 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 | |
| 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 | |
| 15 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 | |
| 16 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 | |
| 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 | |
| 18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 | |
| 19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 | |
| 20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 | |
| 21 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:3 | 0 | |
| 22 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:3 | 0 | |
| 23 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:3 | 0 | |
| 24 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:3 | 0 | |
| 25 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 | |
| 26 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 | |
| 27 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:1 | 0 | |
| 28 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:1 | 0 | |
| 29 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:3 | 0 | |
| 30 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:3 | 0 | |
| 31 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:2 | 0 | |
| 32 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:4 | 0 | |
| 33 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:5 | 0 | |
| 34 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:4 | 0 | |
| 35 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:6 | 0 | |
| 36 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:5 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.