Arsenal vs Lille OSC: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Arsenalvs
Lille OSCThe model puts Arsenal at 76%. The model leans toward Arsenal. Confidence: high.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Arsenal is priced at 1.25.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5 | 2 | ||||
| 1 | 13 | 6 | 1 | |||
| 2 | 16 | 7 | 2 | |||
| 3 | 14 | 6 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 9 | 4 | ||||
| 5 | 5 | 2 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Arsenal at 76%. The model puts the draw at 17%. The model puts Lille OSC at 7%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Arsenal. Arsenal is priced at 1.25. The draw is priced at 5.6. Lille OSC is priced at 13.
Arsenal average 1 goals per game this season. Arsenal average 58% possession. Lille OSC average 2 goals per game this season. Lille OSC average 45% possession.
The model gives 32% for both teams to score. The model gives 58% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Arsenal or Lille OSC?
Our model rates Arsenal as the most likely outcome at 76% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Arsenal vs Lille OSC?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
League table
UEFA Champions League (League stage)| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint-Germain | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 3 |
| 2 |  Bayern Munich | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 3 |
| 3 |  Barcelona | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 3 |
| 4 |  Manchester United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 3 |
| 5 |  Como | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 |
| 6 |  VfB Stuttgart | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 7 |  Sporting Clube de Portugal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 8 |  Manchester City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 9 |  Aston Villa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 10 |  RC Lens | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 11 |  Real Betis | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 12 |  Borussia Dortmund | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 13 |  Liverpool | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 14 |  Real Madrid | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 15 | Arsenal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 16 |  AEK Athens | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 17 |  Roma | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 18 |  Shakhtar Donetsk | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 19 |  PSV Eindhoven | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 20 |  Fenerbahce | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 21 |  Villarreal | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 22 | Lille OSC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 23 |  Slavia Prague | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 24 |  Club Brugge | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 25 |  Internazionale Milano | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 26 |  Atletico Madrid | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 27 |  Napoli | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 28 |  LASK Linz | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 29 |  Viking | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 30 |  Galatasaray | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 31 |  Porto | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 32 |  RasenBallsport Leipzig | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:4 | 0 |
| 33 |  Feyenoord | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:5 | 0 |
| 34 |  Sabah Baku | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:4 | 0 |
| 35 |  Slovan Bratislava | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:6 | 0 |
| 36 |  Bodo-Glimt | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:5 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.