Feyenoord vs Como: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
The model puts Como at 51%. The model leans toward Como. Confidence: low.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Como is priced at 1.86.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
| 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 2 |
| 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Feyenoord at 27%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts Como at 51%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-2.
The market leans toward Como. Feyenoord is priced at 3.64. The draw is priced at 4.14. Como is priced at 1.86.
Feyenoord average 1 goals per game this season. Feyenoord average 28% possession. Como average 4 goals per game this season. Como average 50% possession.
The model gives 77% for both teams to score. The model gives 81% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Feyenoord or Como?
Our model rates Como as the most likely outcome at 51% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Feyenoord vs Como?
A scoreline around 1-2 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
League table
UEFA Champions League (League stage)| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 3 | |
| 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 3 | |
| 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 3 | |
| 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 3 | |
| 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | |
| 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 | |
| 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 | |
| 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 | |
| 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 | |
| 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 | |
| 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 | |
| 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 | |
| 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 | |
| 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 | |
| 15 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 | |
| 16 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 | |
| 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 | |
| 18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 | |
| 19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 | |
| 20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 | |
| 21 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:3 | 0 | |
| 22 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:3 | 0 | |
| 23 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:3 | 0 | |
| 24 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:3 | 0 | |
| 25 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 | |
| 26 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 | |
| 27 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:1 | 0 | |
| 28 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:1 | 0 | |
| 29 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:3 | 0 | |
| 30 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:3 | 0 | |
| 31 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:2 | 0 | |
| 32 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:4 | 0 | |
| 33 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:5 | 0 | |
| 34 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:4 | 0 | |
| 35 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:6 | 0 | |
| 36 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:5 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.