LASK Linz vs Liverpool: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
LASK Linzvs
LiverpoolThe model puts Liverpool at 73%. The model leans toward Liverpool. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours LASK Linz.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- LASK Linz have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Liverpool have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- LASK Linz have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Liverpool is priced at 1.24.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 12 | 20 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 1 |
| 1 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 2 | |
| 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | |||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts LASK Linz at 13%. The model puts the draw at 14%. The model puts Liverpool at 73%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Liverpool. LASK Linz is priced at 10.5. The draw is priced at 6.55. Liverpool is priced at 1.24.
LASK Linz have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
LASK Linz have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Liverpool have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
LASK Linz average 0 goals per game this season. LASK Linz average 51% possession. Liverpool average 2 goals per game this season. Liverpool average 45% possession.
The model gives 29% for both teams to score. The model gives 35% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, LASK Linz or Liverpool?
Our model rates Liverpool as the most likely outcome at 73% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for LASK Linz vs Liverpool?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 2 meetings: 2 LASK Linz wins, 0 draws, 0 Liverpool wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
League table
UEFA Champions League (League stage)| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint-Germain | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 3 |
| 2 |  Bayern Munich | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 3 |
| 3 |  Barcelona | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 3 |
| 4 |  Manchester United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 3 |
| 5 |  Como | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 |
| 6 |  VfB Stuttgart | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 7 |  Sporting Clube de Portugal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 8 |  Manchester City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 9 |  Aston Villa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 10 |  RC Lens | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 11 |  Real Betis | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 12 |  Borussia Dortmund | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 13 | Liverpool | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 14 |  Real Madrid | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 15 |  Arsenal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 16 |  AEK Athens | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 17 |  Roma | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 18 |  Shakhtar Donetsk | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 19 |  PSV Eindhoven | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 20 |  Fenerbahce | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 21 |  Villarreal | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 22 |  Lille OSC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 23 |  Slavia Prague | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 24 |  Club Brugge | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 25 |  Internazionale Milano | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 26 |  Atletico Madrid | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 27 |  Napoli | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 28 | LASK Linz | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 29 |  Viking | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 30 |  Galatasaray | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 31 |  Porto | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 32 |  RasenBallsport Leipzig | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:4 | 0 |
| 33 |  Feyenoord | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:5 | 0 |
| 34 |  Sabah Baku | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:4 | 0 |
| 35 |  Slovan Bratislava | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:6 | 0 |
| 36 |  Bodo-Glimt | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:5 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.