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Copa Sudamericana

Montevideo City Torque vs Club Cienciano Cusco: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Montevideo City Torque Montevideo City TorquevsClub Cienciano Cusco Club Cienciano Cusco
Our predictionMontevideo City Torque to win
Model score: High · 87/100
Score hint: 1-0

The model puts Montevideo City Torque at 62%. The model leans toward Montevideo City Torque. Confidence: high.

Win probabilities

1 · Montevideo City Torque62%
Draw22%
2 · Club Cienciano Cusco17%
1 · Montevideo City TorqueDraw2 · Club Cienciano Cusco
Full team comparison

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo1.98+10.6%
1X2Montevideo City Torque1.55+0.3%
1X2Club Cienciano Cusco5.60-0.2%
1X2Draw4.34-0.2%
BTTSYes1.74-10.6%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.
Team strength rating
Montevideo City Torque
63
Club Cienciano Cusco
35

Recent form

Montevideo City TorqueLWWLL
Club Cienciano CuscoLWLLW

Most likely scorelines

1-013.8%
2-013.7%
1-19.4%
2-19.3%
3-09.0%
0-07.0%

Expected goals

1.98Montevideo City Torque
xG
0.68Club Cienciano Cusco
Over 2.5 goals50%
Both teams to score43%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Montevideo City Torque Club Cienciano Cusco

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Montevideo City Torque win1.55Fair

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
0752
11493
21493
3962
4431
521

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Montevideo City Torque at 62%. The model puts the draw at 22%. The model puts Club Cienciano Cusco at 17%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.

The market leans toward Montevideo City Torque. Montevideo City Torque is priced at 1.55. The draw is priced at 4.34. Club Cienciano Cusco is priced at 5.6.

Montevideo City Torque have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.

Montevideo City Torque have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Club Cienciano Cusco have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 43% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track RecordMethodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Montevideo City Torque or Club Cienciano Cusco?

Our model rates Montevideo City Torque as the most likely outcome at 62% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Montevideo City Torque vs Club Cienciano Cusco?

A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 1 meetings: 1 Montevideo City Torque wins, 0 draws, 0 Club Cienciano Cusco wins.

See odds at bookmakers

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.