Greuther Furth vs 1. Magdeburg: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Greuther Furthvs
1. MagdeburgThe model puts 1. Magdeburg at 42%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours 1. Magdeburg.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Greuther Furth have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- 1. Magdeburg have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Greuther Furth have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
- 1. Magdeburg is priced at 2.27.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | |
| 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 1 |
| 3 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
| 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 5 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Greuther Furth at 32%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts 1. Magdeburg at 42%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-2.
The market frames this as a close contest. Greuther Furth is priced at 2.82. The draw is priced at 3.64. 1. Magdeburg is priced at 2.27.
Greuther Furth have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. 1. Magdeburg have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 4 of their head-to-head meetings.
Greuther Furth have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. 1. Magdeburg have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
Greuther Furth average 2 goals per game this season. Greuther Furth average 44% possession. 1. Magdeburg average 3 goals per game this season. 1. Magdeburg average 60% possession.
The model gives 79% for both teams to score. The model gives 81% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Greuther Furth or 1. Magdeburg?
Our model rates 1. Magdeburg as the most likely outcome at 42% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Greuther Furth vs 1. Magdeburg?
A scoreline around 1-2 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 10 meetings: 3 Greuther Furth wins, 4 draws, 3 1. Magdeburg wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Odds movement
League table
Germany. 2. Bundesliga| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hertha BSC | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15:6 | 15 |
| 2 |  Nurnberg | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15:6 | 13 |
| 3 |  1. Heidenheim | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12:10 | 12 |
| 4 | 1. Magdeburg | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10:8 | 9 |
| 5 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:7 | 8 |
| 6 |  1. Kaiserslautern | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:4 | 8 |
| 7 |  Energie Cottbus | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13:12 | 7 |
| 8 |  VfL Bochum | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4:4 | 7 |
| 9 |  St. Pauli | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7:7 | 6 |
| 10 |  VfL Osnabruck | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8:11 | 6 |
| 11 | Greuther Furth | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:10 | 5 |
| 12 |  Karlsruher | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:11 | 5 |
| 13 |  Eintracht Braunschweig | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 12:12 | 4 |
| 14 |  Arminia Bielefeld | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8:10 | 4 |
| 15 |  Hannover 96 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5:8 | 4 |
| 16 |  Darmstadt 98 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4:8 | 4 |
| 17 |  Dynamo Dresden | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7:12 | 4 |
| 18 |  Holstein | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6:9 | 3 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.