VfL Wolfsburg vs Darmstadt 98: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
VfL Wolfsburgvs
Darmstadt 98The model puts VfL Wolfsburg at 61%. The model leans toward VfL Wolfsburg. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The head-to-head record favours VfL Wolfsburg (6-1-2).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- VfL Wolfsburg have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Darmstadt 98 have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- VfL Wolfsburg have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings.
- VfL Wolfsburg is priced at 1.59.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 27 | 9 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 26 | 9 | 2 | |||
| 2 | 12 | 4 | ||||
| 3 | 4 | 1 | ||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts VfL Wolfsburg at 61%. The model puts the draw at 21%. The model puts Darmstadt 98 at 18%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward VfL Wolfsburg. VfL Wolfsburg is priced at 1.59. The draw is priced at 4.25. Darmstadt 98 is priced at 4.88.
VfL Wolfsburg have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings. Darmstadt 98 have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
VfL Wolfsburg have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Darmstadt 98 have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
VfL Wolfsburg average 0 goals per game this season. VfL Wolfsburg average 63% possession. Darmstadt 98 average 0 goals per game this season. Darmstadt 98 average 38% possession.
The model gives 19% for both teams to score. The model gives 15% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, VfL Wolfsburg or Darmstadt 98?
Our model rates VfL Wolfsburg as the most likely outcome at 61% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for VfL Wolfsburg vs Darmstadt 98?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 9 meetings: 6 VfL Wolfsburg wins, 1 draws, 2 Darmstadt 98 wins.
Odds movement
League table
Germany. 2. Bundesliga| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hertha BSC | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15:6 | 15 |
| 2 |  Nurnberg | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15:6 | 13 |
| 3 |  1. Heidenheim | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12:10 | 12 |
| 4 |  1. Magdeburg | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10:8 | 9 |
| 5 | VfL Wolfsburg | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:7 | 8 |
| 6 |  1. Kaiserslautern | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:4 | 8 |
| 7 |  Energie Cottbus | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13:12 | 7 |
| 8 |  VfL Bochum | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4:4 | 7 |
| 9 |  St. Pauli | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7:7 | 6 |
| 10 |  VfL Osnabruck | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8:11 | 6 |
| 11 |  Greuther Furth | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:10 | 5 |
| 12 |  Karlsruher | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:11 | 5 |
| 13 |  Eintracht Braunschweig | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 12:12 | 4 |
| 14 |  Arminia Bielefeld | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8:10 | 4 |
| 15 |  Hannover 96 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5:8 | 4 |
| 16 | Darmstadt 98 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4:8 | 4 |
| 17 |  Dynamo Dresden | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7:12 | 4 |
| 18 |  Holstein | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6:9 | 3 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.