KVZ vs Asswehly: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
KVZvs
AsswehlyThe model puts Asswehly at 58%. The model leans toward Asswehly. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Asswehly.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- KVZ have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Asswehly have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- KVZ have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Asswehly is priced at 1.591.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11 | 16 | 13 | 7 | 3 | |
| 1 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 2 | |
| 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | ||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts KVZ at 16%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts Asswehly at 58%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Asswehly. KVZ is priced at 5.91. The draw is priced at 3.3. Asswehly is priced at 1.591.
KVZ have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
KVZ have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Asswehly have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 39% for both teams to score. The model gives 39% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, KVZ or Asswehly?
Our model rates Asswehly as the most likely outcome at 58% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for KVZ vs Asswehly?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 1 KVZ wins, 0 draws, 0 Asswehly wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
Odds movement
Match statistics
Match story
How the game unfoldedCautious start, both sides feeling each other out. (0–0)
A controlled first-half spell with few clear chances. (0–0)
Half-time score: KVZ 0 – 0 Asswehly.
Asswehly make it count (Unknown (70')). It's 0–1 at this point.
Asswehly make it count (Unknown (76')). It's 0–2 at this point.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.