Dumbravita vs Resita: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
The model puts Resita at 61%. The model leans toward Resita. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Resita.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Dumbravita have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Resita have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Dumbravita have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Resita is priced at 1.48.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 1 |
| 1 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 3 | |
| 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Dumbravita at 16%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts Resita at 61%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Resita. Dumbravita is priced at 5.66. The draw is priced at 3.9. Resita is priced at 1.48.
Dumbravita have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. Resita have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Dumbravita have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Resita have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 44% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Dumbravita or Resita?
Our model rates Resita as the most likely outcome at 61% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Dumbravita vs Resita?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 7 meetings: 3 Dumbravita wins, 2 draws, 2 Resita wins.
Odds movement
League table
Romania. Liga 2| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 17:5 | 22 | |
| 2 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 18:7 | 20 | |
| 3 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 19:8 | 15 | |
| 4 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 17:8 | 15 | |
| 5 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 19:14 | 15 | |
| 6 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 17:13 | 15 | |
| 7 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 11:8 | 15 | |
| 8 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 14 | |
| 9 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12:12 | 14 | |
| 10 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15:11 | 12 | |
| 11 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 12:10 | 12 | |
| 12 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:12 | 11 | |
| 13 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:13 | 11 | |
| 14 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13:10 | 9 | |
| 15 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:12 | 8 | |
| 16 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7:14 | 6 | |
| 17 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 6:15 | 6 | |
| 18 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 9:17 | 5 | |
| 19 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 11:12 | 4 | |
| 20 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3:10 | 4 | |
| 21 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5:14 | 3 | |
| 22 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 6:23 | 3 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.