Dynamo Dresden vs Hertha BSC: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Dynamo Dresdenvs
Hertha BSCThe model puts Hertha BSC at 46%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Hertha BSC.
- +The head-to-head record favours Hertha BSC (1-0-4).
- +Dynamo Dresden are dealing with notable absentees.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Dynamo Dresden have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Hertha BSC have 5 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Dynamo Dresden have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Dynamo Dresden will be without Bunning, Herrmann, Boeder, Schmidt.
- Hertha BSC will be without Niklas Hildebrandt.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 12 | 14 | 8 | 3 | ||
| 1 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Dynamo Dresden at 33%. The model puts the draw at 22%. The model puts Hertha BSC at 46%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market frames this as a close contest. Dynamo Dresden is priced at 2.679. The draw is priced at 3.96. Hertha BSC is priced at 2.25.
Dynamo Dresden have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. Hertha BSC have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings.
Dynamo Dresden have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Hertha BSC have 5 wins in their last 5 matches. Hertha BSC are on 5 wins in a row.
Dynamo Dresden average 1 goals per game this season. Dynamo Dresden average 62% possession. Hertha BSC average 1 goals per game this season. Hertha BSC average 44% possession.
The model gives 43% for both teams to score. The model gives 36% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Dynamo Dresden or Hertha BSC?
Our model rates Hertha BSC as the most likely outcome at 46% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Dynamo Dresden vs Hertha BSC?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 5 meetings: 1 Dynamo Dresden wins, 0 draws, 4 Hertha BSC wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
Odds movement
Match statistics
Dynamo Dresden
- 1Schreiber T.
- 6Rapp N.
- 7Okpala
- 9Vermeij
- 17Muhamedbegovic
- 18Wagner
- 19Rossipal A.
- 20Bobzien
- 27Hauptmann
- 32Sterner
- 39Keller T.
- Bunning (Missing Player)
- Herrmann (Questionable)
- Boeder (Questionable)
- Schmidt (Missing Player)
Hertha BSC
- 2Eitschberger
- 7Brekalo
- 8Sessa K.
- 17Gronning S.
- 19Adewumi
- 22Pedersen Mad.
- 23Thorsteinsson J.
- 27Kolbe
- 30Seguin
- 35Gersbeck
- 44Gechter
- Niklas Hildebrandt (Missing Player)
League table
Germany. 2. Bundesliga| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hertha BSC | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15:6 | 15 |
| 2 |  Nurnberg | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15:6 | 13 |
| 3 |  1. Heidenheim | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12:10 | 12 |
| 4 |  1. Magdeburg | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10:8 | 9 |
| 5 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:7 | 8 |
| 6 |  1. Kaiserslautern | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:4 | 8 |
| 7 |  Energie Cottbus | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13:12 | 7 |
| 8 |  VfL Bochum | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4:4 | 7 |
| 9 |  St. Pauli | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7:7 | 6 |
| 10 |  VfL Osnabruck | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8:11 | 6 |
| 11 |  Greuther Furth | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:10 | 5 |
| 12 |  Karlsruher | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:11 | 5 |
| 13 |  Eintracht Braunschweig | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 12:12 | 4 |
| 14 |  Arminia Bielefeld | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8:10 | 4 |
| 15 |  Hannover 96 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5:8 | 4 |
| 16 |  Darmstadt 98 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4:8 | 4 |
| 17 | Dynamo Dresden | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7:12 | 4 |
| 18 |  Holstein | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6:9 | 3 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.