Cyprus vs Armenia: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Cyprusvs
ArmeniaThe model puts Cyprus at 41%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Cyprus.
- −The head-to-head record favours Armenia (1-2-3).
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Cyprus have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Armenia have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Cyprus have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Cyprus is priced at 2.38.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Cyprus at 41%. The model puts the draw at 28%. The model puts Armenia at 31%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. Cyprus is priced at 2.38. The draw is priced at 3.22. Armenia is priced at 3.096.
Cyprus have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. Armenia have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Cyprus have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Armenia have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Cyprus or Armenia?
Our model rates Cyprus as the most likely outcome at 41% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Cyprus vs Armenia?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 1 Cyprus wins, 2 draws, 3 Armenia wins.
League table
UEFA Nations League - League C| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Finland | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7:0 | 3 |
| 2 |  Albania | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 3 |  Belarus | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 4 |  San Marino | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:7 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.