Beijing Guoan vs Pohang Steelers: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Beijing Guoanvs
Pohang SteelersThe model puts Beijing Guoan at 51%. The model leans toward Beijing Guoan. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Beijing Guoan.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Beijing Guoan have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Pohang Steelers have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Beijing Guoan have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Beijing Guoan is priced at 1.955.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 7 | 3 | |||
| 1 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 6 | 6 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Beijing Guoan at 51%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts Pohang Steelers at 25%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Beijing Guoan. Beijing Guoan is priced at 1.955. The draw is priced at 3.74. Pohang Steelers is priced at 3.64.
Beijing Guoan have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Beijing Guoan have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Pohang Steelers have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 49% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Beijing Guoan or Pohang Steelers?
Our model rates Beijing Guoan as the most likely outcome at 51% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Beijing Guoan vs Pohang Steelers?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 2 meetings: 1 Beijing Guoan wins, 1 draws, 0 Pohang Steelers wins.
Odds movement
League table
AFC Champions League Elite - League stage| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Newcastle Jets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 2 | Beijing Guoan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 6a9be6497762417de84d7674 |
| 3 |  Kyoto Sanga | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 6a884b457762417de8362217 |
| 4 |  Kashiwa Reysol | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 6a9be6497762417de84d7673 |
| 5 |  Vissel Kobe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 6a9c0bf07762417de84d9ab6 |
| 6 |  Kashima Antlers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 7 |  Gamba Osaka | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 6a884b457762417de8362218 |
| 8 |  Daejeon Hana Citizen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 6a884b457762417de8362217 |
| 9 |  Buriram United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 6a9bfe0c7762417de84d8c59 |
| 10 | Pohang Steelers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 6a9be6497762417de84d7674 |
| 11 |  Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 6a9be6497762417de84d7673 |
| 12 |  Shanghai Port | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 6a9bfe0c7762417de84d8c52 |
| 13 |  Port | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 6a9c0bf07762417de84d9ab6 |
| 14 |  Darul Takzim | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 15 |  Ratchaburi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 6a9bfe0c7762417de84d8c52 |
| 16 |  Hanoi Police | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 6a884b457762417de8362218 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.